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7 things an
automated or non-appraiser valuation won't tell you
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Lenders and brokers using
Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) and homeowners using "free online
home values" to determine the value of a property need to know what
those results aren't telling them.
- Whether the house is really there. A
computer can't so much as drive by a house to see if it's actually
located where it's supposed to be, has four walls and a roof, and
really is a four bedroom split level and not a one bedroom shack.
- Whether unique features of a property might
add to or detract from market value. So a computer returns an
estimated value of $150,000. Did it account for the sewage treatment
station next door? The railroad tracks nearby with trains that blow
their whistles every night? The school district? The desirability of
its tree-lined street versus the next street over?
- How long ago the property was assessed.
Many AVMs and free online services rely on public assessment
records. In many states, for example, assessments may only be
required every three years — the value may be nearly three years
old in that case. Some states mandate that an assessed value not
increase beyond a certain percentage, even if sales activity
indicates the property has appreciated far more. When you use an AVM
or free online service, you risk a lower value than reality.
- What makes the comparables comparable. A
computer might compare your subject property to another property
with similar square footage sold three months ago a quarter of a
mile away. Even if that "comparable" property is in a
different, less desirable school district, fronts a four-lane, 55
M.P.H. street, and is flood-prone. Or even if the property was sold
under duress, such as in a divorce situation, or not at arm's
length, such as to a family member. A computer simply does not
know all the adjustments that might need to be made to a
"comparable" property's sales price.
- Whether a market is declining. Automated
valuations use data from recent, nearby sales. If those sales were
completed at the peak of a local housing market, the computer will
think the trend is going up. Even if a professional appraiser knows
that the overall neighborhood is beginning to experience a downturn.
As a lender, don't get stuck with a property that's been overvalued
by a computer.
- Whether there is a conflict of interest.
Free online home values are often farmed out to real estate agents
in your area, who use the service to get your listing when you
decide to sell. The best way to do that is to impress you with their
confidence that they can get a higher price for your property. If
they tell you your property is "worth" the high end of
what they believe they can sell it for, the theory goes, you're more
likely to sign a listing agreement. With most things, it's best to
"under promise and over deliver" — but the opposite is
true when you use a free online home value service.
- What qualifications, designations,
experience and education the preparer of the value has. When you
work with an appraiser, you can be confident we're highly qualified,
ethical and prepared to complete your assignment professionally and
with good judgment. Most of the time, you don't know the
qualifications of whoever is behind those free online values, and
they couldn't compare to an appraiser's if you did. And if you're
relying on an automated valuation, you're cheating yourself out of
an appraiser's education, experience and expertise.
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